Russian LNG in Asia: New Projects, Marketing PotentialThis report continues a series of analytical studies devoted to prospects of Russian oil and gas projects, which aim at eastward exports. Its content develops and compliments another report, 'Eastern Projects of Gazprom: Investment Plans, Management System' that appeared in March 2014.
The report contains basic information about the history, current status and prospects of LNG projects, which are targeting Asian gas markets. This destination has become a priority for the Russian government’s energy strategy over a few past years. The government is paying particular attention to conquering a market niche in the Asia Pacific area. The strategy is based on geopolitical considerations and Moscow is determined not only to encourage but also to partially subsidize LNG projects that can reach this goal.
The projects in this study include Gazprom’s plan to build an LNG plant and terminal near Vladivostok and the joint project of Rosneft and ExxonMobil on the southern tip of the Sakhalin Island. The list of potential suppliers of Russian gas to Asia would not been full without the Yamal LNG project of an international consortium, which has received unprecedented tax incentives and made the most progress in its construction schedule.
In separate chapters, the report addresses such issues as the capacity of demand for LNG in the Asia Pacific area as a whole and, specifically, in Japan, China, South Korea and Taiwan.
An issue of extreme importance for Russian LNG projects is their competitiveness vis-à-vis gas suppliers from North America, Australia and other regions. Prognoses of prices in Asia do not seem to benefit Russian exporters’ expectations, but non-commercial considerations of the Russian government probably can help these projects make it to a practical implementation.
The report contains a large number of tables, schemes and charts to illustrate its arguments and conclusions.
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